Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.129770 11.205992 12.360885 13.694448 15.194450 16.832431 18.760435
2025-10-12 8.700760 10.212434 11.947441 14.094829 16.693215 19.750609 23.642459
2025-10-19 7.486095 9.239364 11.370709 14.172602 17.788778 22.338848 28.560994
2025-10-26 6.475439 8.345930 10.736184 14.049926 18.580432 24.638527 33.489311
2025-11-02 5.661644 7.578502 10.137875 13.857887 19.215007 26.787850 38.552171
2025-11-09 4.997753 6.916714 9.580479 13.619823 19.717262 28.787713 43.707728
2025-11-16 4.475379 6.382155 9.123587 13.444535 20.256355 30.883035 49.333531
2025-11-23 4.065573 5.958498 8.769066 13.360336 20.897894 33.196991 55.684581
2025-11-30 3.809569 5.732368 8.677647 13.659987 22.173052 36.699169 64.680251
2025-12-07 3.500298 5.389039 8.361924 13.547941 22.728996 39.035673 71.968440
2025-12-14 3.190865 5.013527 7.952760 13.223437 22.858494 40.608830 78.056124
2025-12-21 2.964877 4.751373 7.701147 13.135858 23.390867 42.984745 86.179507
2025-12-28 2.847252 4.663366 7.741496 13.586434 25.015524 47.773918 100.539156
2026-01-04 2.728303 4.561729 7.747452 13.974103 26.575704 52.700078 116.358011
2026-01-11 2.573328 4.382543 7.596952 14.045457 27.510024 56.472170 130.373145
2026-01-18 2.406897 4.168015 7.360899 13.920572 28.016681 59.393016 142.990707
2026-01-25 2.248391 3.954427 7.106406 13.728439 28.350343 61.975113 155.366759
2026-02-01 2.099810 3.747085 6.844865 13.491630 28.551060 64.276894 167.564691
2026-02-08 1.972206 3.569276 6.624819 13.317442 28.869768 66.920074 181.429925
2026-02-15 1.865667 3.423638 6.455541 13.233673 29.388303 70.157076 197.949056
2026-02-22 1.806543 3.366035 6.458312 13.529782 30.865164 76.162750 224.861834
2026-03-01 1.712336 3.231101 6.289956 13.418767 31.313923 79.473560 243.944563
2026-03-08 1.606414 3.064794 6.042285 13.097670 31.182297 81.141081 257.899989